Veteran Icelandic volcanologist Haraldur Sigurðsson has reiterated his prediction that the Holuhraun eruption will come to an end in March 2015.
Haraldur first put forward his theory on October 11th, 2014 within six weeks after the eruption started on August 31st. He repeated the prediction on November 15th and again yesterday January 18th.
Haraldur's forecast is based on his theory that the ongoing subsidence in the center of the Bárðarbunga caldera is an exponential function that will gradually slow down relieving the pressure in the volcanic system that supplies magma to the Holuhraun eruption.
Three months after launching the theory, the subsidence in the huge sub glacial caldera has behaved exactly like Haraldur predicted galvanizing his belief that the eruption will indeed come to an end in March when pressure in the magma chamber will reach a balance.
Haraldur is the only volcanolgist that has put a firm time frame when the eruption will die down.
Read more: Holuhraun eruption could go on for years
Bárðarbunga is at the center of a 200 km (124 mi) long volcanic system. The 10 km (6,2 mi) wide caldera is located underneath a 600 to 850-meter (1,968 to 2,788 ft.) thick ice cap in Vatnajökull glacier.
The eruption in Holuhraun is in an ice free zone about 41 km (25.5 mi) north of the caldera.
The total depression of the ice surface above the caldera is more than 55 meters (180 ft.) and is the largest subsidence that has been measured in modern times at a caldera in Iceland.
Veteran Icelandic volcanologist Haraldur Sigurðsson has reiterated his prediction that the Holuhraun eruption will come to an end in March 2015.
Haraldur first put forward his theory on October 11th, 2014 within six weeks after the eruption started on August 31st. He repeated the prediction on November 15th and again yesterday January 18th.
Haraldur's forecast is based on his theory that the ongoing subsidence in the center of the Bárðarbunga caldera is an exponential function that will gradually slow down relieving the pressure in the volcanic system that supplies magma to the Holuhraun eruption.
Three months after launching the theory, the subsidence in the huge sub glacial caldera has behaved exactly like Haraldur predicted galvanizing his belief that the eruption will indeed come to an end in March when pressure in the magma chamber will reach a balance.
Haraldur is the only volcanolgist that has put a firm time frame when the eruption will die down.
Read more: Holuhraun eruption could go on for years
Bárðarbunga is at the center of a 200 km (124 mi) long volcanic system. The 10 km (6,2 mi) wide caldera is located underneath a 600 to 850-meter (1,968 to 2,788 ft.) thick ice cap in Vatnajökull glacier.
The eruption in Holuhraun is in an ice free zone about 41 km (25.5 mi) north of the caldera.
The total depression of the ice surface above the caldera is more than 55 meters (180 ft.) and is the largest subsidence that has been measured in modern times at a caldera in Iceland.
