According to new population projections by Statistics Iceland, the number of Icelanders will be anywhere between 372,000 and 513,000. The current population of Iceland is 329,100, having grown from 190,652 in 1965.
Statistics Iceland projects that the population of Iceland will have grown to 437,000 by 2065, due to natural growth and immigration. If different assumptions are made about economic growth, fertility and mortality this figure could be as high as 513,000 and as low as 372,000. The main difference between the low and middle estimate is the assumption that fertility will drop and mortality rise faster, resulting in more deaths than births after 2045. Statistics Iceland expects net immigration throughout the period, although every year is expected to see more native born Icelanders emigrating than moving back to Iceland.
Another interesting assumption is the projection that average age of Icelanders will continue to climb up. Today the life expectancy of new-born girls in Iceland is 83.5 years, and that of boys 79.5 years. By 2065 Statistics Iceland expects these figures to have climbed to 88.5 for girls and 84.3 for boys.
According to new population projections by Statistics Iceland, the number of Icelanders will be anywhere between 372,000 and 513,000. The current population of Iceland is 329,100, having grown from 190,652 in 1965.
Statistics Iceland projects that the population of Iceland will have grown to 437,000 by 2065, due to natural growth and immigration. If different assumptions are made about economic growth, fertility and mortality this figure could be as high as 513,000 and as low as 372,000. The main difference between the low and middle estimate is the assumption that fertility will drop and mortality rise faster, resulting in more deaths than births after 2045. Statistics Iceland expects net immigration throughout the period, although every year is expected to see more native born Icelanders emigrating than moving back to Iceland.
Another interesting assumption is the projection that average age of Icelanders will continue to climb up. Today the life expectancy of new-born girls in Iceland is 83.5 years, and that of boys 79.5 years. By 2065 Statistics Iceland expects these figures to have climbed to 88.5 for girls and 84.3 for boys.
