Neither of the smaller coalition partners in the three party right wing ruling coalition would get a single man elected to parliament if elections were held today, the latest public opinion poll indicates. The Left Green Movement and the Social Democratic Alliance register significant gains. The shift to the left amounts to 14.5 percentage points.
Support for coalition government collapses
The poll, which is published in today's edition of the local newspaper Fréttablaðið, shows that the centrist Bright Future and the center-right Restoration, the two junior partners in the ruling right wing coalition, enjoy the support of 3.8% and 3.1% respectively. If elections were held today neither party would be able to cross a 5% threshold in elections to get a man into parliament. Bright Future received 7.2% in the 2016 elections, while Restoration received 10.5%.
Some of the support for the two smaller parties has shifted to the conservative Independence Party which now enjoys the support of 32.1%, up from 29% in the 2016 elections. However, the coalition parties, which commanded nearly a 50% support in the elections now only have a combined support of 39%.
Large shift to the left
The poll finds that the Left Green Movement is the second largest party, with 27.3%, up from 15.9% and the Social Democratic Alliance has also added to its support. The party now enjoys the support of 8.8%, up from 5.7%. The anti-establishment Pirate Party stands still, with the support of 14.3%. The party received 14.5% in the October elections.
The center-right Progress party has the support of 8% of voters, down from 11.5%.
Fréttablaðið calculates that if elections were held today the Independence Party would receive 23 MPs, the Left Green movement 19, the Pirate Party 10, the Social Democratic Alliance 6 and the Progress Party 5. The Left Greens could therefore form a majority coalition of 35 MPs.
The following graph, comparing the current poll and the 2016 election was made by Electograph:
Neither of the smaller coalition partners in the three party right wing ruling coalition would get a single man elected to parliament if elections were held today, the latest public opinion poll indicates. The Left Green Movement and the Social Democratic Alliance register significant gains. The shift to the left amounts to 14.5 percentage points.
Support for coalition government collapses
The poll, which is published in today's edition of the local newspaper Fréttablaðið, shows that the centrist Bright Future and the center-right Restoration, the two junior partners in the ruling right wing coalition, enjoy the support of 3.8% and 3.1% respectively. If elections were held today neither party would be able to cross a 5% threshold in elections to get a man into parliament. Bright Future received 7.2% in the 2016 elections, while Restoration received 10.5%.
Some of the support for the two smaller parties has shifted to the conservative Independence Party which now enjoys the support of 32.1%, up from 29% in the 2016 elections. However, the coalition parties, which commanded nearly a 50% support in the elections now only have a combined support of 39%.
Large shift to the left
The poll finds that the Left Green Movement is the second largest party, with 27.3%, up from 15.9% and the Social Democratic Alliance has also added to its support. The party now enjoys the support of 8.8%, up from 5.7%. The anti-establishment Pirate Party stands still, with the support of 14.3%. The party received 14.5% in the October elections.
The center-right Progress party has the support of 8% of voters, down from 11.5%.
Fréttablaðið calculates that if elections were held today the Independence Party would receive 23 MPs, the Left Green movement 19, the Pirate Party 10, the Social Democratic Alliance 6 and the Progress Party 5. The Left Greens could therefore form a majority coalition of 35 MPs.
The following graph, comparing the current poll and the 2016 election was made by Electograph:
