The Left Greens would emerge as the dominant force in parliament if elections were held today, the latest Fréttablaðið poll reveals. 28.6% of voters say they would vote for the Left Greens, compared to 22.3% who say they would vote for the conservative Independence Party. The anti-establishment Pirate Party and the Social Democratic Alliance enjoy the support of ca 11% each.
Read more: Analysis: Latest polls confirm Left Greens are largest party in lead-up to snap elections
A left-wing coalition looks likely
The poll confirms that the conservative Independence Party has no options to form a center-right government, as the two small center-right parties which served as junior partners in the conservative led coalition government which collapsed in the Pardon-gate scandal would not make it past the 5% threshold needed for representation in parliament. The centrist Progress Party enjoys the support of 6%, while two newly formed right-wing populist parties enjoy the support of 9% each.
Fréttablaðið calculates that were elections held today the Left Green Movement would receive 20 MPs, compared to the 10 MPs the party currently has. The Independence Party would lose 6 MPs, dropping from 21 to 15. The Pirate Party loses two MPs (dropping from 10 to 8), while the Social Democratic Alliance adds four MPs, going from 3 to 7.
Right-wing populism rising
The Center Party, founded by the former chairman of the centrist Progress Party and disgraced former Prime Minister Sigmundur Davíð Gunnlaugsson, who resigned following the release of the Panama Papers, would receive 6 MPs, while the Progress Party would lose 5 MPs, dropping from 8 to 3. The other newly founded populist party, the People's Party, would receive 4 MPs. Other parties would not make it past the 5% minimum.
Read more: Interview with disgraced former PM over Panama Papers nominated for an Emmy award
The likeliest coalition government under these circumstances would be a leftist block, led by the Left Greens, supported by the Pirates and Social Democrats. The three leftist and anti-establishment parties would enjoy a solid majority of 35 MPs, while the right wing opposition wold only have 28 MPs.
The Left Greens would emerge as the dominant force in parliament if elections were held today, the latest Fréttablaðið poll reveals. 28.6% of voters say they would vote for the Left Greens, compared to 22.3% who say they would vote for the conservative Independence Party. The anti-establishment Pirate Party and the Social Democratic Alliance enjoy the support of ca 11% each.
Read more: Analysis: Latest polls confirm Left Greens are largest party in lead-up to snap elections
A left-wing coalition looks likely
The poll confirms that the conservative Independence Party has no options to form a center-right government, as the two small center-right parties which served as junior partners in the conservative led coalition government which collapsed in the Pardon-gate scandal would not make it past the 5% threshold needed for representation in parliament. The centrist Progress Party enjoys the support of 6%, while two newly formed right-wing populist parties enjoy the support of 9% each.
Fréttablaðið calculates that were elections held today the Left Green Movement would receive 20 MPs, compared to the 10 MPs the party currently has. The Independence Party would lose 6 MPs, dropping from 21 to 15. The Pirate Party loses two MPs (dropping from 10 to 8), while the Social Democratic Alliance adds four MPs, going from 3 to 7.
Right-wing populism rising
The Center Party, founded by the former chairman of the centrist Progress Party and disgraced former Prime Minister Sigmundur Davíð Gunnlaugsson, who resigned following the release of the Panama Papers, would receive 6 MPs, while the Progress Party would lose 5 MPs, dropping from 8 to 3. The other newly founded populist party, the People's Party, would receive 4 MPs. Other parties would not make it past the 5% minimum.
Read more: Interview with disgraced former PM over Panama Papers nominated for an Emmy award
The likeliest coalition government under these circumstances would be a leftist block, led by the Left Greens, supported by the Pirates and Social Democrats. The three leftist and anti-establishment parties would enjoy a solid majority of 35 MPs, while the right wing opposition wold only have 28 MPs.
